SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Khimki has a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Khimki win it is 0-1 (4.84%).
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Khimki |
65.8% ( 1.79) | 20.39% ( -0.98) | 13.81% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( 2.43) | 47.2% ( -2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( 2.22) | 69.43% ( -2.22) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( 1.33) | 13.51% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.45% ( 2.59) | 40.55% ( -2.59) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% ( 0.31) | 45.51% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.66% ( 0.24) | 81.34% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.66)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.67% Total : 65.79% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 20 | 54 | 70 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 46 | 16 | 48 |
| 7 | OrenburgOrenburg | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 45 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Sochi | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Fakel | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 67 | -42 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 13 |
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