SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
27.76% ( -0.01) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 47.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.03) | 47.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0.03) | 69.51% ( 0.04) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.03) | 30.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.04) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.01) | 19.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.91% ( -0.02) | 52.09% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Benfica | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Porto | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Vizela | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
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