SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
18.66% ( -0.01) | 21.89% ( -0.01) | 59.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.01) | 44.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.01) | 67.22% ( -0.01) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( -0.01) | 37.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.38% ( -0.01) | 74.61% ( 0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( 0.01) | 14.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.09% ( 0.02) | 42.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Benfica | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Porto | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Vizela | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
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