SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
32.12% ( -0.76) | 26.07% ( -0.21) | 41.81% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.68) | 51.18% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 0.59) | 73.02% ( -0.59) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.16) | 29.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.07% ( -0.2) | 65.93% ( 0.2) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.8) | 24.24% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.41% ( 1.12) | 58.59% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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