Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 Arsenal - Premier League - May 12, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Results matter much more than performances do at this stage of the season, but Arsenal rode their luck against Man United, West Ham and the 10 men of Leeds for long periods, and that streak of fortune may run out in a fixture that has traditionally been unkind to them. Arteta's side have not developed a ruthless streak to kill games off, whereas Tottenham will be buoyed by their stellar showing against Liverpool and should expose the Gunners' recent defensive lapses to keep the race for the top four alive that little bit longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
44.18% ( 2.79)	25.9% ( -0.16)	29.92% ( -2.62)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.26)

51.3% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.22)

73.13% (

0.23)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

1.26)

23.13% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

1.81)

56.99% (

-1.81)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-1.93)

31.43% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

-2.29)

67.8% (

2.29)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 44.18%

Arsenal 29.92%

Draw 25.89%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.18%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.92%

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Ben White, Bukayo Saka doubtful for North London derby

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	18	15	2	1	42	14	28	47
2	Manchester City Man City	18	12	3	3	46	18	28	39
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	19	10	8	1	33	11	22	38
4	Manchester United Man Utd	18	12	2	4	29	21	8	38
5	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	19	10	3	6	37	27	10	33
6	Fulham	20	9	4	7	32	29	3	31
7	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	18	9	3	6	35	25	10	30
8	Brentford	19	7	8	4	32	28	4	29
9	Liverpool	18	8	4	6	34	25	9	28
10	Chelsea	19	8	4	7	22	21	1	28
11	Aston Villa	19	7	4	8	22	27	-5	25
12	Crystal Palace	18	6	4	8	17	26	-9	22
13	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	19	5	5	9	15	34	-19	20
14	Leeds United Leeds	18	4	5	9	26	33	-7	17
15	Leicester City Leicester	19	5	2	12	26	33	-7	17
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	19	4	5	10	12	27	-15	17
17	Bournemouth	19	4	4	11	18	41	-23	16
18	West Ham United West Ham	19	4	3	12	15	25	-10	15
19	Everton	19	3	6	10	15	26	-11	15
20	Southampton	19	4	3	12	17	34	-17	15

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Form, Standings, Stats