Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.