SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
46.81% ( 0.26) | 26.35% ( -0.07) | 26.84% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( 0.17) | 54.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( 0.14) | 76.02% ( -0.14) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.19) | 23.35% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.68% ( 0.28) | 57.32% ( -0.28) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.06) | 35.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.64% ( -0.06) | 72.36% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 26.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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