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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
FL

Brighton
2 - 1
Fulham

Paul van Hecke (41'), Pedro (90+8' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jimenez (35')
Robinson (69'), Andersen (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawFulham
42.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.32% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.102 -0.1)42.54% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.1 -0.1)64.94% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.2% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.106 -0.11)52.52% (0.109 0.11)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)24.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.47%
    Fulham 33.32%
    Draw 24.2%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawFulham
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, March 2 at 1.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-4 Brighton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Fulham (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, March 2 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League


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