MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:26:27
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West Ham vs. Newcastle: 1 hr 33 mins
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NL
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
St. James' Park
BL

Newcastle
1 - 2
Brighton

Isak (22' pen.)
Joelinton (36')
Gordon (83')
FT
(aet)
Minteh (44'), Welbeck (114')
Lamptey (29'), Webster (35'), Balepa (45+2'), Gomez (92')
Lamptey (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.8% (0.938 0.94) 22.89% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 35.31% (-0.991 -0.99)
Both teams to score 65.44% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)35.59% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.35% (-0.523 -0.52)57.65% (0.527 0.53)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.196 0.2)17.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (0.338 0.34)48.21% (-0.335 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.69799999999999 -0.7)20.57% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-1.12 -1.12)53.09% (1.124 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
    Draw 22.89%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-3 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Newcastle
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-4 Brighton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Everton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League


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