SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
11.47% ( 0.11) | 17.58% ( 0.11) | 70.95% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.66% ( -0.21) | 40.34% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.28% ( -0.22) | 62.71% ( 0.22) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.05) | 44.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.12% ( 0.04) | 80.88% ( -0.04) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.87% ( -0.11) | 10.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.68% ( -0.25) | 33.32% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 11.47% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.58% | 0-2 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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