SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
38.94% ( 0.06) | 27.01% ( 0) | 34.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( -0.02) | 54.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( -0.01) | 75.92% ( 0.02) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.02) | 27.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( 0.03) | 62.77% ( -0.03) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.05) | 30.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.05) | 66.44% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.05% |
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