SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
30.26% ( -0.04) | 24.03% ( -0.01) | 45.71% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.03% ( 0.04) | 42.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.63% ( 0.04) | 65.36% ( -0.04) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0) | 26.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0) | 62.33% ( 0) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 0.04) | 18.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( 0.06) | 50.53% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.71% |
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