SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Larne | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
75.53% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( -0.04) | 8.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.33) | 38.46% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( 0.35) | 60.75% ( -0.35) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( 0.08) | 8.57% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.37% ( 0.2) | 29.62% ( -0.2) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.36% ( 0.3) | 48.63% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.31% ( 0.22) | 83.69% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 8.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 32 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 65 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 40 | 61 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 37 | 25 | 59 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 57 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 38 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 78 | -56 | 16 |
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