SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Loughgall win it was 2-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Portadown |
21.59% ( -0.02) | 22.09% ( -0.02) | 56.31% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( 0.04) | 41.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( 0.04) | 64.09% ( -0.04) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( 0) | 33.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( 0) | 69.62% ( -0) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.03) | 14.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( 0.05) | 42.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.93% 1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 56.31% |
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