Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 79.65%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 6.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.22%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.