SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Newry City AFC |
25.3% ( 0.48) | 24.76% ( -0.2) | 49.94% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( 1.2) | 49.49% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 1.07) | 71.52% ( -1.07) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 1.06) | 34.06% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.26% ( 1.12) | 70.74% ( -1.12) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0.36) | 19.83% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.08% ( 0.58) | 51.92% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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