SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
54.35% ( -1.41) | 23.72% ( 0.56) | 21.93% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -1.36) | 48.37% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -1.25) | 70.51% ( 1.25) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -1) | 17.69% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.66% ( -1.76) | 48.33% ( 1.75) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.06) | 36.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.73% ( 0.06) | 73.26% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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