SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
43.44% ( 0.39) | 25.55% | 31.02% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -0.14) | 49.36% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -0.13) | 71.41% ( 0.13) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.13) | 22.65% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( 0.18) | 56.28% ( -0.18) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.33) | 29.68% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( -0.4) | 65.73% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.02% |
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