SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
50.73% ( 0.07) | 24.63% ( -0.02) | 24.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.04) | 49.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( 0.04) | 71.5% ( -0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.04) | 19.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( 0.07) | 51.39% ( -0.06) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.02) | 34.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.68% ( -0.02) | 71.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.65% |
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