SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
25.82% ( -0.03) | 24.65% ( -0.01) | 49.53% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( 0.04) | 48.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 0.04) | 70.74% ( -0.04) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0) | 33.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.23% ( 0) | 69.77% ( -0) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.03) | 19.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.37% ( 0.05) | 51.64% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.82% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 55 | 15 | 40 | 54 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 41 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | GlenavonGlenavon | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 7 | ColeraineColeraine | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 12 |
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