SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
11.34% ( -0.03) | 17.93% ( -0.02) | 70.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -0.01) | 64.75% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.06) | 46.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.91% ( -0.04) | 82.08% ( 0.04) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( 0.01) | 10.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.32% ( 0.02) | 34.67% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.34% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.93% | 0-2 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 9.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 70.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 23 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 21 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 12 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 49 | -32 | 12 |
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