SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Larne | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Linfield | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Glenavon | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
25.29% ( -3.31) | 24.27% ( -1.08) | 50.44% ( 4.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( 2.23) | 47.42% ( -2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( 2.03) | 69.64% ( -2.03) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -1.42) | 32.96% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.46% ( -1.6) | 69.54% ( 1.6) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( 2.74) | 18.82% ( -2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.74% ( 4.38) | 50.26% ( -4.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.56)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.29% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.65)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.62)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.72)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.44)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| 2 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 23 |
| 3 | LarneLarne | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 9 | Newry City AFC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | GlenavonGlenavon | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 12 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 6 |
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