Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 8.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Linfield in this match.
