SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
29.06% ( 0.31) | 25.46% ( -0.02) | 45.48% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.23) | 49.91% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.21) | 71.9% ( -0.2) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.35) | 31.34% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.3% ( 0.4) | 67.7% ( -0.4) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.04) | 21.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.8% ( -0.06) | 55.2% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | CrusadersCrusaders | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 26 |
| 4 | LarneLarne | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 13 |
| 9 | Newry City AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 10 |
| 10 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | GlenavonGlenavon | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
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