SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
43.42% ( -6.59) | 24.42% ( 0.61) | 32.15% ( 5.98) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( 0.75) | 43.95% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( 0.73) | 66.34% ( -0.73) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -2.42) | 20.37% ( 2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.22% ( -4) | 52.78% ( 4) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( 4.53) | 26.27% ( -4.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.62% ( 5.68) | 61.38% ( -5.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.55) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.98)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -1.38)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.7)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -1.08)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.45)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.58)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 1.02) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.95)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.8)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.48)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.63)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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