SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
18.82% ( -2.46) | 22.58% ( -1.38) | 58.6% ( 3.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( 2.52) | 47.6% ( -2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( 2.28) | 69.8% ( -2.27) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( -1.16) | 39.25% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.04% ( -1.1) | 75.96% ( 1.11) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 2.27) | 15.92% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.83% ( 4.02) | 45.17% ( -4.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.84) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.82% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.68)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 10.55% ( 0.49)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.52)0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.43)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.16)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 68 |
| 2 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 62 |
| 3 | LinfieldLinfield | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 25 | 33 | 61 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 57 |
| 5 | ColeraineColeraine | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
| 6 | GlentoranGlentoran | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 51 |
| 7 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 32 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 31 |
| 9 | GlenavonGlenavon | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 29 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 69 | -49 | 20 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 70 | -55 | 12 |
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