SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Glentoran |
26.55% ( 0.29) | 25.27% ( -0.02) | 48.17% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0.28) | 50.64% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.25) | 72.55% ( -0.25) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.38) | 33.64% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 0.41) | 70.29% ( -0.42) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -0) | 21.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( -0) | 53.83% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.17% |
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