SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Coleraine in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
30.26% ( -0.07) | 26.67% ( 0.02) | 43.08% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% ( -0.09) | 54.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% ( -0.07) | 75.63% ( 0.08) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( -0.09) | 32.7% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( -0.11) | 69.25% ( 0.11) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.01) | 24.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.02) | 59.6% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.07% |
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