SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Coleraine |
52.53% ( 0.02) | 23.04% ( 0) | 24.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( -0.03) | 42.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( -0.03) | 65.22% ( 0.03) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0) | 16.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.09% ( -0) | 45.91% ( 0.01) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.03) | 31.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( -0.04) | 67.53% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.53% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.42% |
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