SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
41.91% ( 0.56) | 25.58% ( -0.14) | 32.5% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( 0.46) | 49% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.41) | 71.08% ( -0.42) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.48) | 23.23% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( 0.7) | 57.13% ( -0.7) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( -0.05) | 28.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( -0.06) | 64.29% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.5% |
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