SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
57.29% ( 0.12) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 19.72% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.32) | 48.02% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.3) | 70.19% ( -0.29) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( 0.16) | 16.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( 0.28) | 46.25% ( -0.28) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( 0.15) | 38.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( 0.14) | 75.26% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.72% |
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