SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
33.43% ( 0.02) | 26.23% | 40.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.01) | 51.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0.01) | 73.31% ( -0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.02) | 29.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( 0.02) | 65.08% ( -0.02) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -0.01) | 25.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( -0.01) | 59.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.33% |
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