SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glentoran |
20.02% ( -0.46) | 24.42% ( -0.39) | 55.56% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.94) | 53.35% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 0.79) | 74.89% ( -0.79) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( 0.04) | 41.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.21% ( 0.04) | 77.79% ( -0.03) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( 0.7) | 19.1% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( 1.14) | 50.72% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 10.8% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.55% |
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