SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
34.76% ( -0.04) | 25.86% ( 0.02) | 39.37% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.08) | 49.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.07) | 71.73% ( 0.07) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.06) | 27.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.06% ( -0.08) | 62.93% ( 0.08) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.56% ( -0.03) | 59.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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