SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 3.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 4-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Portadown |
86.96% ( 0.34) | 9.21% ( -0.29) | 3.82% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.76% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.11% ( 1.37) | 28.89% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.16% ( 1.66) | 49.84% ( -1.66) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.6% ( 0.29) | 4.4% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 81.86% ( 0.9) | 18.14% ( -0.9) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.63% ( 0.86) | 57.37% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.75% ( 0.47) | 89.25% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Portadown |
| 3-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.47)4-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.18)6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)7-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.66% Total : 86.96% | 1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 9.21% | 0-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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