Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 5.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
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