SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Portadown |
65.59% ( -0.22) | 19.26% ( 0.1) | 15.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.18) | 39.28% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.19) | 61.61% ( 0.19) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( -0.11) | 11.2% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.28% ( -0.24) | 35.72% ( 0.24) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( 0.06) | 38.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.58% ( 0.05) | 75.43% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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