SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
53.49% ( -0.27) | 23.03% ( 0.1) | 23.48% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.28) | 43.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.27) | 66.1% ( 0.27) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -0.19) | 16.31% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( -0.35) | 45.88% ( 0.35) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.01) | 32.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.48% |
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