SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Larne |
33.77% ( 0.03) | 27.84% ( -0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( 0.1) | 57.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( 0.08) | 78.52% ( -0.08) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 0.07) | 32.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.45% ( 0.08) | 68.55% ( -0.08) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.05) | 29.17% ( -0.05) |
