SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Portadown |
62.44% ( 0.17) | 20.36% ( -0.1) | 17.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.36) | 40.41% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.36) | 62.79% ( -0.37) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.16) | 12.39% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.73% ( 0.33) | 38.27% ( -0.33) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% ( 0.14) | 36.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.36% ( 0.14) | 73.64% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.44% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.36% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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