SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
37.03% ( 0.38) | 25.38% ( -0.39) | 37.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( 1.74) | 47.41% ( -1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( 1.59) | 69.63% ( -1.59) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 1.02) | 25.05% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.27% ( 1.39) | 59.73% ( -1.39) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( 0.8) | 24.75% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.69% ( 1.11) | 59.31% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 21 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 11 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | -32 | 11 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
