SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Larne |
23.25% ( 0.11) | 23.87% ( 0.02) | 52.88% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.01) | 47.6% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.01) | 69.8% ( -0) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( 0.1) | 34.82% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.45% ( 0.11) | 71.55% ( -0.1) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.04) | 17.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.22% ( -0.08) | 48.78% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.25% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 21 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 11 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | -32 | 11 |
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