SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
65.61% ( 0.03) | 19.33% ( -0.02) | 15.06% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( 0.02) | 39.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% ( 0.02) | 62.14% ( -0.03) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( 0.01) | 11.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.97% ( 0.04) | 36.02% ( -0.04) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( -0.01) | 39.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.16% ( -0.01) | 75.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 65.61% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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