SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Newry City AFC |
55.76% ( 0.01) | 21.89% ( 0) | 22.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.03) | 39.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.04) | 62.16% ( 0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( -0.01) | 14.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.1% ( -0.02) | 41.89% ( 0.02) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.03) | 31.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.34% ( -0.03) | 67.66% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.76% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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