SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
40.41% ( -0.65) | 25.76% ( -0.06) | 33.83% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.4) | 49.46% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( 0.36) | 71.5% ( -0.36) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( -0.16) | 24.19% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.48% ( -0.23) | 58.52% ( 0.23) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.64) | 27.9% ( -0.64) |
