SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
50.29% ( -1.49) | 24.41% ( 0.5) | 25.3% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -1.25) | 48.03% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -1.16) | 70.19% ( 1.16) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -1.06) | 19.12% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.25% ( -1.78) | 50.75% ( 1.78) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.17) | 33.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.11% ( 0.18) | 69.88% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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