Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
