Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
