Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
