Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
