SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
69.62% ( -7.21) | 18.08% ( 3.06) | 12.29% ( 4.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( 5.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( -1.75) | 40.5% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( -1.82) | 62.88% ( 1.82) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( -2.15) | 10.5% ( 2.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.82% ( -5.1) | 34.18% ( 5.1) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.34% ( 6.98) | 43.65% ( -6.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.16% ( 5.25) | 79.84% ( -5.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 11.64% ( -1.39) 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.78)3-0 @ 8.74% ( -2.04)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.93% ( -1.77)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.51)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -1.11)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.14)Other @ 4.24% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 1.42) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.98)Other @ 0.93% Total : 18.08% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.92) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 1.12)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.43)Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.29% |
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